Founder & CEO @ Lightning Rod Labs
Jun 10, 2026
A small AI model, trained on existing hospital notes with no manual labeling, predicts patient outcomes like ventilation, dialysis, and mortality — and runs on a single GPU.
May 29, 2026
A small open model, trained from public news, massively outperforms GPT-5 at predicting military strikes.
Apr 2, 2026
Foresight V3 is #1 on Prophet Arena, beating every frontier model. Here's how a small team with a small model outperformed the largest AI models in the world.
Feb 10, 2026
Use Lightning Rod to turn real news into a model-ready prediction dataset.
Feb 6, 2026
Transform 10-K narratives into calibrated probabilities using Foresight Learning. Outperform general purpose models like GPT-5 with specialized risk prediction.
Jan 21, 2026
Real world event resolution as a scalable source of supervision
Aug 27, 2025
A forward-looking test of AI forecasting performance on live prediction markets
