Lightning Rod Labs Blog

Foresight V3 is #1 on Prophet Arena, beating every frontier model. Here's how a small team with a small model outperformed the largest AI models in the world.

Use Lightning Rod to turn real news into a model-ready prediction dataset.

Transform 10-K narratives into calibrated probabilities using Foresight Learning. Outperform general purpose models like GPT-5 with specialized risk prediction.

Real world event resolution as a scalable source of supervision

A forward-looking test of AI forecasting performance on live prediction markets