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Training AI to Predict the Future

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AI Reaches Human SuperForecaster Range

AI Reaches Human SuperForecaster Range

On ForecastBench, the best AI systems are now statistically tied with the human superforecaster median — and one of them is our compact Foresight-v3.

Jul 8, 2026

Foresight V4: Better Predictions, Cheaper Inference

Foresight V4: Better Predictions, Cheaper Inference

Foresight-V4 sets the Pareto frontier for AI forecasting

Jul 1, 2026

Predicting Patient Outcomes From Clinical Notes

Predicting Patient Outcomes From Clinical Notes

A small AI model, trained on existing hospital notes with no manual labeling, predicts patient outcomes like ventilation, dialysis, and mortality — and runs on a single GPU.

Jun 10, 2026

Forecasting Geopolitical Risk with Foresight Learning

Forecasting Geopolitical Risk with Foresight Learning

A small open model, trained from public news, massively outperforms GPT-5 at predicting military strikes.

May 29, 2026

Turning Fed Beige Book PDFs Into A Calibrated AI Economic Forecaster

Turning Fed Beige Book PDFs Into A Calibrated AI Economic Forecaster

Predicting changes in regional economic conditions using only timestamped PDFs

Apr 17, 2026

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