Lightning Rod Labs Blog

A small AI model, trained on existing hospital notes with no manual labeling, predicts patient outcomes like ventilation, dialysis, and mortality — and runs on a single GPU.

A small open model, trained from public news, massively outperforms GPT-5 at predicting military strikes.

Predicting changes in regional economic conditions using only timestamped PDFs

Predicting high-impact events from noisy unstructured data

Foresight V3 is #1 on Prophet Arena, beating every frontier model. Here's how a small team with a small model outperformed the largest AI models in the world.