Jul 8, 2026
On ForecastBench, the best AI systems are now statistically tied with the human superforecaster median — and one of them is our compact Foresight-v3.
Jul 1, 2026
Foresight-V4 sets the Pareto frontier for AI forecasting
Jun 10, 2026
A small AI model, trained on existing hospital notes with no manual labeling, predicts patient outcomes like ventilation, dialysis, and mortality — and runs on a single GPU.
May 29, 2026
A small open model, trained from public news, massively outperforms GPT-5 at predicting military strikes.
Apr 17, 2026
Predicting changes in regional economic conditions using only timestamped PDFs
Apr 9, 2026
Predicting high-impact events from noisy unstructured data
Apr 2, 2026
Foresight V3 is #1 on Prophet Arena, beating every frontier model. Here's how a small team with a small model outperformed the largest AI models in the world.
Feb 10, 2026
Use Lightning Rod to turn real news into a model-ready prediction dataset.
Feb 6, 2026
Transform 10-K narratives into calibrated probabilities using Foresight Learning. Outperform general purpose models like GPT-5 with specialized risk prediction.
Jan 21, 2026
Real world event resolution as a scalable source of supervision